The gold price has been affected by a variety of factors, including the strength of the US dollar, US bond yields, and economic data from both the US and China. The recent drop in gold price is attributed to the strong US economic data, which has reduced expectations for an interest rate cut. This is reflected in the US Dollar Index, which has reached a new peak, and with US Treasury yields edging higher.
Furthermore, traders have decreased their bets on a potential interest rate cut from the Federal Reserve in March, as indicated by the CME Fedwatch tool. The better-than-expected US Retail Sales data has contributed to this shift in expectations. Additionally, discouraging economic data from China, one of the world’s largest gold consumers, is also impacting the gold price.
Looking ahead, investors will be paying attention to US economic data releases, such as Housing Starts, Building Permits, weekly Initial Claims, and the Philly Fed Manufacturing Index, as these figures could further influence the direction of the gold price. Therefore, the outlook for gold price remains uncertain as it continues to be influenced by a complex interplay of global economic factors.