The gold price is currently at $2,033, trading in the green as the US dollar experiences a loss of momentum. In the short term, the XAU/USD is maintaining a sideways trend, prompting a need to wait for a clear direction.
Yesterday, the Bank of Japan kept its monetary policy unchanged, while the New Zealand Consumer Price Index rose by 0.5%, meeting expectations. Today, the US manufacturing and services data, as well as the Bank of Canada (BOC) Press Conference, are anticipated to generate significant market activity. The Eurozone and German services and manufacturing sectors have shown contractions, while the UK Flash Services PMI has demonstrated further expansion.
Looking ahead, the US Flash Manufacturing PMI is expected to confirm further contraction, while the Flash Services PMI should remain steady compared to the previous month. Additionally, the Bank of Canada is projected to maintain the Overnight Rate at 5.00%, but the BOC Press Conference, BOC Rate Statement, and BOC Monetary Policy Report could potentially change market sentiment. Tomorrow, high-impact events such as the European Central Bank (ECB) and the US Advance GDP release are expected.
From a technical perspective, the XAU/USD appears to be in an undecided state in the short term. The price action has formed a symmetrical triangle pattern, and a breakout from this pattern would present new opportunities. The gold price has found demand above $2,020 and is showing signs of approaching new highs. An ascending pitchfork has been identified to capture potential upward movement, with the price currently situated between the median and lower median lines (ml).
A breakout above the triangle’s resistance and the median line could signify a strong growth opportunity and be viewed as a long position.
Additional insight: Amidst ongoing geopolitical tensions and uncertainty in global markets, the demand for safe-haven assets like gold remains strong. The recent performance of the US dollar, economic data releases, and central bank announcements can have a significant impact on the direction of gold prices in the near future. Traders and investors should closely monitor these developments to make informed decisions in the gold market.