Gold prices have surged slightly after falling to a three-week low, while silver prices are slightly down after reaching a four-week low. The market is relatively quiet ahead of the release of important U.S. economic data. February gold was last up $3.20 at $1,996.40, while March silver was last down $0.026 at $22.99.
Investors are awaiting the release of the U.S. producer price index (PPI) report, which is expected to show a 0.1% increase from the previous month. Additionally, the two-day Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) monetary policy meeting of the Federal Reserve will conclude on Wednesday, where it is widely anticipated that U.S. interest rates will remain unchanged. However, the FOMC statement and Fed Chairman Jerome Powell’s press conference are expected to maintain a hawkish stance on inflation, signaling that the fight against inflation is ongoing. Despite this, many market analysts anticipate the Fed to cut U.S. interest rates by mid-2024.
In other global news, the annual economic conference in China did not yield significant stimulus measures, leading to a negative sentiment among Asian investors.
The decline in crude oil prices, which are trading around $68.75 a barrel, has put downward pressure on the raw commodity sector. Additionally, the yield on the benchmark U.S. Treasury 10-year note is currently at 4.187%.
Looking ahead, additional U.S. economic data, including the weekly MBA mortgage applications survey and the weekly DOE liquid energy stocks report, are due for release.
From a technical perspective, the gold futures market still favors bulls in the near term, but there are indications of a potential market top. On the other hand, the silver market is showing a bearish trend in the short term.
It is anticipated that the release of the U.S. economic data and the FOMC’s decision will have a significant impact on the precious metals market in the coming days. The global economic condition, especially in China, will also continue to influence investor sentiment and commodity prices.
Overall, while the current market outlook for gold and silver remains mixed, it is essential for investors to stay informed about the changing economic landscape and its potential impact on precious metals.