The technical outlook for Gold (XAU/USD) is being analyzed by economists at Société Générale. Gold has been in a large sideways consolidation since 2020, with attempts to break out from this range facing resistance near $2,135. The most recent breakout attempt also stalled near $2,088, indicating a formation of a sideways consolidation pattern.
The defense of the 50-DMA near $2,012 is seen as crucial for the continuation of an uptrend in Gold. It will be important to observe whether Gold can surpass the recent lower peak at $2,088 to confirm a clear breakout from the multi-year range. Failure to hold above $2,012 could signal a risk of a deeper pullback in the price of Gold.
This analysis suggests that the price of Gold is at a critical juncture, with the potential for a breakout or a deeper pullback depending on its ability to hold key levels. Additional insight could include the potential impact of macroeconomic factors, such as inflation expectations, interest rates, and geopolitical tensions, on the price of Gold. Furthermore, a fundamental analysis of the supply and demand dynamics for Gold could provide a more comprehensive understanding of its technical outlook.