Investors in the gold market saw the rally come to a stop just before hitting the $2050 mark, as some decided to book profits ahead of Friday’s session. The main driver of this upward movement was the Fed’s recent dovish pivot, which created an opportunity for US Dollar weakness. However, it’s important to note that the Fed remains data dependent, and strong data could prevent them from easing policy.
After reaching a weekly high of $2047.91, the price of gold has pulled back slightly but remains in positive territory, with a gain of 0.15%, trading at around $2030.20 a troy ounce after hitting a daily low of $2024.37.
The lack of pushback from Fed Chair Jerome Powell in response to overly priced rate cuts has given investors the perfect excuse to increase their bets on the US central bank being forced to ease policy more than projected. Despite Powell and Co. keeping the door open for additional rate hikes, the market is currently anticipating a more dovish stance from the Fed.
Following the release of positive US Retail Sales data and other economic indicators, the US Dollar experienced a slight recovery. However, upcoming economic data such as S&P Global Flash PMIs for December and the Industrial Production for November will be closely watched for further market direction.
From a technical perspective, Gold’s outlook remains upward biased, but analysts caution that a bearish pattern could emerge if Thursday’s price action prints an inverted hammer, potentially testing support levels around the $2000 figure and the 50-day moving average at $1974.78.
In terms of additional insight, the market is holding its breath ahead of the Fed’s next moves and weighing the potential impact of upcoming economic data releases. The trajectory of the US Dollar and the overall global economic conditions will continue to be key factors driving the direction of the gold market in the coming weeks.