Gold prices are currently holding steady as traders eagerly await this week’s release of inflation figures, which will provide clues on the precious metal’s next big move. The Federal Reserve’s decision to begin lowering interest rates in 2024 has sparked a debate on whether the Central Bank should cut, hike, or hold interest rates steady.
The upcoming PCE inflation data, scheduled for release on Thursday, is expected to be a key factor in determining the Fed’s next move. With two consecutive months of hotter-than-expected inflation readings, there is speculation that the Fed may need to consider raising interest rates, despite previous indications of rate cuts.
The correlation between PPI and PCE suggests that January’s PCE inflation figures may also exceed expectations. This unexpected trend has led to a shift in market expectations, with traders now revising their bets on the timing of the first interest rate cut.
Analysts at GSC Commodity Intelligence predict that the first rate cut may be pushed out to the FOMC’s June meeting, with fewer cuts expected in total for 2024. Regardless of the outcome of the inflation data, it is certain to have a significant impact on the markets and present opportunities for traders to capitalize on.
Overall, the upcoming inflation figures and the Fed’s response to them will be closely watched by market participants, as they try to anticipate the future direction of gold prices amidst economic uncertainty and changing interest rate expectations.