Gold and Silver Prices
Gold prices opened on the Multi Commodity Exchange (MCX) on Friday at Rs 69,475 per 10 grams and hit an intraday low of Rs 69,297. In the international market, prices hovered around $2,279.76 per ounce.
Meanwhile, silver opened at Rs 79,339 per kg and hit an intraday low of Rs 78,777 on the MCX. In the international market, the price hovered around $26.57 per ounce.
Insight on Gold Market
Kaynat Chainwala, Senior Manager-Commodities Research at Kotak Securities, mentioned that gold futures retreated from a record high due to hawkish comments from Fed officials. This indicates that the market is still cautious ahead of the US NFP data. Heightened geopolitical tensions and possible escalation between Iran and Israel could influence safe-haven bids and provide support for gold prices.
Additionally, with US Jobs data and inflation numbers due this week, the market will be closely watching for any cues on the Fed’s policy path.
Market Trends and Outlook
Manav Modi, Analyst, Commodity and Currency, MOFSL, highlighted that gold prices are near record highs while silver saw some profit booking after breaching all-time highs. The market is also reacting to geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and other regions, driving safe-haven plays towards bullion and precious metals.
Furthermore, the Dollar index’s strength and US 10-year yields are impacting market trends. The focus on more debate and data before potential interest rate cuts by Fed officials is influencing investor sentiment.
Impact of US Economic Data
Modi added that US economic data, including unemployment benefits and factory orders, could influence market movements before the release of Non-farm payroll data. Any sign of easing in the labor market could impact the Fed’s decision regarding rate cuts later in the year.
Trivedi from LKP Securities mentioned that gold prices may experience volatility in the coming days, with key data releases ahead. Strong support is expected at a certain level, and a breach below that could lead to further declines in gold prices.
Additional Insight: With the ongoing uncertainty in global markets and the focus on economic data releases, investors should monitor geopolitical developments and central bank policies to assess the potential impact on precious metals prices. As the markets remain sensitive to changing conditions, staying informed and agile in decision-making will be crucial for navigating the current landscape.