The current state of the swaps markets suggests that there is an 85% likelihood of an interest rate cut by March. The potential decrease in yields and interest rates generally has a positive effect on non-interest bearing assets like gold. As a result, the price of gold has increased by approximately 14% this year, and it seems to be on track for its first annual rise in three years.
As of 12 p.m. in New York, the value of gold has slightly decreased by 0.1% to $2,074.62 per ounce. This slight dip may be due to a variety of factors, including market fluctuations and investor sentiment.
Additional Insight: It’s important to note that while lower interest rates and yields can drive up the price of gold, this relationship is not always straightforward. Gold prices can also be influenced by other factors such as inflation, currency movements, and geopolitical events. Investors should consider a diverse range of factors when evaluating the potential impact on the price of gold.