The price of XAU/USD has been on a steady decline since last Friday, dropping a significant $2,000. This comes as markets are bracing for the release of US inflation data and the Federal Reserve’s interest rate call later in the week.
Spot Gold experienced further declines on Monday, falling below the $2,000 mark to settle around $1,980 as the markets prepare for the release of US Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation figures. This will be followed by a Federal Reserve rate call midweek, which is expected to drive market momentum.
Inflation data is a key focus, with the Core CPI expected to increase in November, though the YoY figure is predicted to decrease slightly. Despite expectations for rate cuts from the Fed, inflation remains above the 2% target range.
The release of the Fed’s Monetary Policy Statement and Interest Rate Projections, known as the ‘Dot Plot,’ is anticipated to provide insights into the possibility of future rate cuts. Additionally, the Fed’s press conference following the release is expected to draw significant market attention.
From a technical standpoint, the XAU/USD’s recent decline has brought it below the $2,000 level and closer to $1,980. However, the daily candlesticks have been supported by the bullish side of the 200-day SMA, suggesting the potential for a rebound. The mid-week economic releases could introduce volatility and impact technical setups.
In summary, XAU/USD is facing significant volatility as markets await the key economic releases and Fed rate call. The potential for a rebound exists, but market reactions will ultimately determine the direction of gold prices.
Insight: It is important for traders and investors to closely monitor economic data releases and central bank announcements, such as the Federal Reserve’s interest rate call, as these events can have a significant impact on the price of gold and other assets. Additionally, technical analysis can provide valuable insights into potential price movements and support levels for XAU/USD.